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Grayscale's GBTC Discount Erases to Null, Marking a Milestone Unseen Since February 2021

Jan 12, 2024 at 07:30 am

Grayscale, a significant player in the cryptocurrency investment sector, has received regulatory approval to convert its flagship product into an Exchange-Traded Fund (ETF). This approval from the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) represents a crucial milestone for the company, allowing its bitcoin fund (GBTC) to undergo a transformative shift. A noteworthy development accompanies this shift – the discount to net asset value (NAV) of Grayscale's bitcoin fund has reached 0%, a level not observed since February 2021.

The SEC's approval has opened the door for Grayscale's bitcoin fund to evolve into a spot bitcoin ETF, officially commencing trading on Thursday alongside 10 other ETFs. GBTC had previously faced an extended period of trading at a discount to the price of the bitcoin it held, hitting record lows of nearly 50% in December 2022. The discount began narrowing significantly as expectations of ETF approval gained momentum in the summer, coupled with the growing positive sentiment surrounding bitcoin.

Before the SEC granted approval for the ETF conversion, the discount had dwindled to as low as 5.6% on Monday, reflecting the market's anticipation of this regulatory endorsement. Sean Farrell, Head of Digital Asset Strategy at FundStrat, expressed relief over the convergence of GBTC to NAV, considering it a significant industry milestone symbolizing a move towards a new stage of maturity. Farrell acknowledged the challenges posed by GBTC in the past, causing "unnecessary pain" due to its distinct closed-end fund structure.

Structural Evolution: Navigating Transformative Paths in Fund Dynamics

The existence of the discount was attributed to the fund's nature, resembling a closed-end fund without an inherent arbitrage mechanism. This absence hindered market makers from creating or redeeming shares at their discretion, contributing to the substantial discount to the underlying asset value. Farrell emphasized the adverse impact on individual investors, leading to underperformance against the benchmark and significant credit issues, as the product was commonly used as collateral within the space.

The conversion of the fund into an ETF brings about a fundamental change in its structure. Previously, liquidity was only accessible over-the-counter in the secondary market. However, with this transformation, Authorized Participants now possess the ability to create and redeem ETF shares at NAV. This development ensures a connection between the market price of the ETF and its NAV, minimizing the premium/discount to only vary by a few basis points from par, according to Matt Kunke, Crypto Research Analyst at GSR.

Looking forward, industry observers are closely monitoring the performance of discounts to NAV on Grayscale's Ethereum Trust (ETHE). Farrell anticipates a swift closure of the discount as the likelihood of approval for a spot ether ETF increases. Grayscale's successful ETF conversion stands out as a noteworthy event in the evolving landscape of cryptocurrency investment, signaling a shift towards greater market efficiency and maturity.

Read More: Cryptocurrency Market Surges as SEC Greenlights Spot Bitcoin ETFs: Bitcoin Soars Beyond $47K, Ether and Grayscale's GBTC Experience Significant Gains

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