BTC Rollercoaster: September Updates

Martin Walker
Sep 8, 2023 at 12:39 pm

Bitcoin (BTC) experienced a notable downturn, with its price dipping to $25,847. This drop brought about increased volatility as we approached the Wall Street opening on September 8th, triggered by what can be described as a classic "short squeeze." This unexpected turn of events led to Bitcoin reaching new highs for September.

BTC/USD 1-hour chart as provided by TradingViewBTC/USD 1-hour chart as provided by TradingView  

Bitcoin presents an opportunity to return to the $24,400 level

Bitcoin took traders on a roller-coaster ride, retracing its steps to the $24,400 mark. Data from TradingView revealed that BTC's price movements resulted in the liquidation of both short and long positions.

The day before, Bitcoin had shown signs of upward momentum, ultimately reaching a high above $26,400 after the daily closing. However, a subsequent downturn saw BTC/USD completing a full circle, bringing the pair back below the $26,000 mark at the time of this update.

Latecomers to the market experienced losses, as indicated by data from CoinGlass, which reported short liquidations totaling $23.5 million on September 7th, with the long positions for September 8th yet to be determined.

 Chart displaying BTC/USD liquidations (screenshot). Sourced from CoinGlassChart displaying BTC/USD liquidations (screenshot). Sourced from CoinGlass  

As popular trader Skew noted in their overnight market analysis on X (formerly Twitter), "Shorts were hunted down as anticipated."

Another trader, Daan Crypto Trades, emphasized the significance of reclaiming the ground lost in August. He shared with X subscribers that "Bitcoin was finally able to break above the September monthly open after testing it numerous times. It is now retesting it. The question is, will it provide as much support as it did resistance? It's up to the bulls to try and maintain a 'green' September."

CoinGlass data confirmed that September typically sees Bitcoin's price decline by nearly 10%, aligning with market expectations for 2023.

Chart depicting monthly returns for BTC/USD (screenshot). Obtained from CoinGlassChart depicting monthly returns for BTC/USD (screenshot). Obtained from CoinGlass  

Analyst suggests that the BTC price is solidifying its "ultimate correction"

One analyst, Crypto Tony, downplayed the strength of the overnight market move, highlighting that the critical threshold to cross was $26,600. He explained, "We saw a nice rally from the low range of $25,600, but there was no follow-through to reach the high range. So, once again, we find ourselves stuck in the middle of the range. I won't consider entering the Bitcoin market until we clear $26,600."

Annotated chart for BTC/USD sourced from Crypto Tony on XAnnotated chart for BTC/USD sourced from Crypto Tony on X  

Despite the ups and downs, BTC/USD continued to hold steady above the 200-day exponential moving average (EMA), which currently stands at $25,674.

Reflecting on Bitcoin's past interactions with the 200-week EMA in previous market cycles, Michaël van de Poppe, the founder and CEO of trading firm Eight, suggested that the market was now undergoing its "final" price correction for Bitcoin. "Technically speaking, we can focus on the price action in 2019, but that doesn't provide a clear case. Comparing the current market to the 2015 cycle (considering the new participants entering the market – institutions), we can draw parallels. In this context, this appears to be the conclusive correction."

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