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Bitcoin Dips to Six-Month Low Near $25K as Elevated Oil Prices Add Pressure

Sep 5, 2023 at 07:04 pm

Following the Labor Day weekend, the cryptocurrency market witnessed a decline, with Bitcoin (BTC) dropping by nearly 1% within the last 24 hours, pushing its value below the $25,700 mark. Just a week prior, Bitcoin had seen a significant surge, crossing the $28,000 threshold, thanks to Grayscale's legal victory regarding the Grayscale Bitcoin Trust (GBTC) and its bid for a spot Bitcoin ETF.

However, the initial excitement surrounding the ETF approval began to fade, exacerbated by the SEC's decision to postpone judgments on several other spot Bitcoin ETF applications, including those from financial giants like BlackRock and Fidelity.

Bitcoin's current price, hovering around $25,000, represents its lowest point since mid-March when it was on an upward trajectory.

Renowned analyst Will Clemente characterized the prevailing sentiment as "apathy." He highlighted key indicators such as the crypto market's dwindling trading volume, multi-year lows in Google search trends, and record lows in both realized volatility and weekly Bollinger Bands.

Macro news suggests continued pressure on prices

In an unrelated development, Saudi Arabia and Russia took markets by surprise with their joint announcement to extend oil production cuts for an additional three months, pushing the extension period until December. This development led to a more than 1% increase in the price of WTI crude oil, driving it to $86.74, its highest level since November 2022.

Higher oil prices often translate into increased inflation, potentially leading to higher interest rates. If traditional interest-bearing assets, like 30-day T-bills, offer competitive yields, they may divert capital away from riskier assets such as Bitcoin. Consequently, the short-term outlook for Bitcoin prices could be seen as bearish, as investors may opt for more conventional interest-bearing options.

The upcoming official U.S. inflation data, scheduled for release on September 13 with the Consumer Price Index (CPI) report for August, will provide further insights into the economic landscape.

Solana a bright spot

In contrast to the overall subdued or downward trends in the cryptocurrency market, Solana's SOL token exhibited strength, recording a 3.7% increase over the past 24 hours. This surge was partly fueled by Visa's announcement of its expanded capabilities for stablecoin settlements through the integration of Circle’s USDC stablecoin with the Solana blockchain. Cuy Sheffield, Visa's head of crypto, explained that this strategic move aims to accelerate cross-border settlement processes and provide clients with contemporary alternatives for funds transfer.

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